South Adelaide Panthers vs Sturt Lions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.4%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.4%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-47%
+36%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
South Adelaide Panthers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
WES
2 - 3
SAP
17%
20%
62%
|
29 | 18 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
SAP
6 - 0
68%
18%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
WHI
0 - 3
SAP
11%
17%
72%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 2
SAP
41%
22%
37%
|
27 | 26 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
CAM
1 - 3
SAP
63%
20%
18%
|
26 | 35 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Sturt Lions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2022 |
ADE
2 - 0
SLF
75%
15%
10%
|
24 | 37 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2022 |
WES
3 - 0
SLF
15%
19%
67%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | -3 |
| 19 Feb. 2022 |
1 - 3
SLF
39%
23%
38%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
ADE
1 - 0
SLF
73%
15%
12%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
SLF
2 - 2
SAP
41%
22%
37%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |