Sousa vs Fortaleza EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.3%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
24%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
56.7%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
11%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.6%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.5%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sousa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
CON
2 - 2
SOU
50%
24%
26%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
0 - 1
CON
43%
26%
31%
|
46 | 46 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
10%
|
46 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 1
SPO
13%
21%
66%
|
46 | 71 | 25 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
BAR
2 - 0
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | -2 |
Matches
Fortaleza EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
SPO
3 - 0
FOR
67%
20%
14%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
0 - 0
SPO
37%
25%
38%
|
62 | 71 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2013 |
FOR
3 - 0
SOU
75%
16%
10%
|
62 | 46 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
CON
3 - 0
FOR
20%
24%
56%
|
63 | 44 | 19 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
FOR
1 - 3
OES
63%
21%
16%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | -2 |