Alcobendas vs Hoyo de Manzanares analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.3%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
59.6%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
10%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
9.8%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.2%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.4%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
1.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.7%
0-5
1.2%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+46%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Alcobendas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
ESC
3 - 1
ALC
30%
24%
46%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
ALC
0 - 2
VDB
71%
18%
11%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
CAL
2 - 3
ALC
44%
24%
32%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ALC
3 - 3
SPB
36%
24%
40%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
CAB
1 - 2
ALC
33%
26%
41%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Hoyo de Manzanares
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2024 |
EES
3 - 7
HMA
14%
18%
68%
|
17 | 8 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2024 |
HMA
2 - 4
RSR
85%
10%
5%
|
18 | 8 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SLO
2 - 3
HMA
32%
23%
46%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
HMA
2 - 2
POZ
46%
22%
33%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
LRO
0 - 0
HMA
49%
23%
28%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |