Sorrento vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.8%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.2%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.1%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
11.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sorrento
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Dec. 2010 |
VER
1 - 1
SOR
46%
26%
27%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
SOR
3 - 2
FCS
70%
19%
11%
|
61 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SOR
0 - 0
PAV
73%
18%
10%
|
61 | 45 | 16 | 0 |
| 31 Oct. 2010 |
ACL
1 - 2
SOR
48%
26%
27%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2010 |
SOR
1 - 0
PAG
65%
21%
14%
|
60 | 54 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
SPE
1 - 0
PAG
47%
27%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
BV5
0 - 0
SPE
37%
26%
37%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2010 |
SPE
3 - 0
ASS
33%
27%
40%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 10 Nov. 2010 |
SPE
4 - 1
RAV
26%
27%
47%
|
48 | 59 | 11 | +2 |
| 07 Nov. 2010 |
SPA
1 - 1
SPE
63%
23%
14%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | 0 |