SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Oberachern analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.5%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.2%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7.1%
Win probability
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+33%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
9º
1º
28
5º
13º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 88 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 76 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
BAL
1 - 6
SGS
40%
25%
35%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
SGS
3 - 0
FSV
68%
18%
14%
|
50 | 36 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 2
SGS
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SGS
6 - 0
SVF
70%
17%
12%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PFO
2 - 3
SGS
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Oberachern
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 1
TSB
73%
16%
11%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
OBE
0 - 1
BAL
26%
22%
52%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TSV
0 - 0
OBE
28%
22%
50%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | -1 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 0
FSV
65%
17%
18%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
NOR
2 - 2
OBE
32%
23%
45%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |