Oberliga Baden-Württemberg round 17

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs Oberachern analysis

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach Oberachern
53 ELO 38
2% Tilt 0.9%
4801º General ELO ranking 8039º
154º Country ELO ranking 322º
ELO win probability
78.6%
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
14.4%
Draw
7%
Oberachern

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.6%
Win probability
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
2.5
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.2%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
11.6%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.7%
2-0
14%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.5%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.4%
7%
Win probability
Oberachern
0.61
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
+46%
+38%
Oberachern

Points and table prediction

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
Their league position
Oberachern
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
27
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
52
85
89%
TSG Balingen
41
76
64%
VfR Mannheim
40
70
52.5%
VfR Aalen
30
60
24.5%
CfR Pforzheim
32
60
26%
Nottingen
26
56
24%
Oberachern
27
52
23.5%
FSV Hollenbach
25
49
19%
Bissingen
10º
23
47
23%
Normannia Gmünd
24
43
10º
17%
TSV Essingen
12º
20
39
11º
19.5%
Reutlingen
11º
21
39
12º
12.5%
SV Fellbach
14º
17
35
13º
19%
TSG Backnang
13º
18
33
14º
12%
Zuzenhausen
15º
15
31
15º
19%
Ravensburg
16º
14
30
16º
18%
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
17º
12
27
17º
28%
FC 08 Villingen II
18º
9
24
18º
58.5%
Expected probabilities
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
Oberachern
Promotion
89% 0%
Promotion play-offs
10.5% 0.5%
Mid-table
0.5% 99.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
Oberachern
Ravensburg
Zuzenhausen
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
VfR Mannheim
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
BAL
TSG Balingen
1 - 6
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
40%
25%
35%
51 47 4 0
01 Nov. 2024
SGS
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
3 - 0
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
68%
18%
14%
50 36 14 +1
26 Oct. 2024
VFR
VfR Aalen
0 - 2
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
30%
25%
45%
50 45 5 0
20 Oct. 2024
SGS
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
6 - 0
SV Fellbach
SVF
70%
17%
12%
50 30 20 0
12 Oct. 2024
PFO
CfR Pforzheim
2 - 3
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
32%
25%
43%
50 45 5 0

Matches

Oberachern
Oberachern
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Nov. 2024
OBE
Oberachern
2 - 1
TSG Backnang
TSB
73%
16%
11%
38 27 11 0
02 Nov. 2024
OBE
Oberachern
0 - 1
TSG Balingen
BAL
26%
22%
52%
38 46 8 0
26 Oct. 2024
TSV
TSV Essingen
0 - 0
Oberachern
OBE
28%
22%
50%
39 29 10 -1
19 Oct. 2024
OBE
Oberachern
2 - 0
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
65%
17%
18%
39 32 7 0
12 Oct. 2024
NOR
Normannia Gmünd
2 - 2
Oberachern
OBE
32%
23%
45%
39 32 7 0