SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs FSV Hollenbach analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
-3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
9º
1º
25
1º
13º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
58 | 88 |
1º
|
97.5% | |
|
2º
|
47 | 76 |
2º
|
90.5% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 65 |
3º
|
49.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 61 |
4º
|
28.5% | |
|
5º
|
34 | 58 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
6º
|
30 | 57 |
6º
|
21% | |
|
7º
|
28 | 50 |
7º
|
20.5% | |
|
8º
|
26 | 49 |
8º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
26 | 44 |
9º
|
14% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 43 |
10º
|
18.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
25 | 43 |
11º
|
9.5% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 42 |
12º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 39 |
13º
|
14.5% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 35 |
14º
|
20% | |
|
15º
|
20 | 35 |
15º
|
17.5% | |
|
16º
|
19 | 34 |
16º
|
17% | |
|
17º
|
12 | 24 |
17º
|
53.5% | |
|
18º
|
9 | 20 |
18º
|
77% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
97.5% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 97% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 3% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 2
SGS
30%
25%
45%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
SGS
6 - 0
SVF
70%
17%
12%
|
50 | 30 | 20 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
PFO
2 - 3
SGS
32%
25%
43%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
SGS
5 - 0
FCV
74%
16%
10%
|
50 | 23 | 27 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
VFR
0 - 2
SGS
17%
23%
60%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
FSV Hollenbach
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 0
BAL
19%
21%
61%
|
31 | 48 | 17 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
OBE
2 - 0
FSV
65%
17%
18%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2024 |
VFR
1 - 1
FSV
62%
21%
17%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2024 |
FSV
2 - 2
SVF
46%
22%
32%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
PFO
5 - 0
FSV
66%
19%
15%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -1 |