Oberliga Baden-Württemberg round 15

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs FSV Hollenbach analysis

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach FSV Hollenbach
50 ELO 35
1.9% Tilt -1.6%
4937º General ELO ranking 8486º
162º Country ELO ranking 350º
ELO win probability
68%
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
18.2%
Draw
13.7%
FSV Hollenbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.7%
Win probability
FSV Hollenbach
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
+42%
-5%
FSV Hollenbach

Points and table prediction

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
Their league position
FSV Hollenbach
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
19
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
43
83
69%
TSG Balingen
39
79
61%
CfR Pforzheim
28
64
41.5%
VfR Mannheim
31
62
24.5%
VfR Aalen
25
59
27.5%
Oberachern
24
52
21%
Nottingen
10º
17
51
20%
FSV Hollenbach
19
47
13.5%
Normannia Gmünd
20
45
13%
Bissingen
19
44
10º
8.5%
TSV Essingen
12º
17
39
11º
10.5%
SV Fellbach
16º
14
39
12º
13.5%
Reutlingen
11º
17
36
13º
13%
Ravensburg
15º
14
36
14º
9%
TSG Backnang
13º
15
34
15º
16%
Zuzenhausen
14º
14
32
16º
19.5%
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
17º
11
29
17º
23%
FC 08 Villingen II
18º
9
24
18º
49.5%
Expected probabilities
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
FSV Hollenbach
Promotion
69% 0%
Promotion play-offs
29.5% 0%
Mid-table
1.5% 98.5%
Relegation
0% 1.5%

ELO progression

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
FSV Hollenbach
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
Oberachern
TSG Balingen
Zuzenhausen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
VFR
VfR Aalen
0 - 2
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
30%
25%
45%
50 45 5 0
20 Oct. 2024
SGS
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
6 - 0
SV Fellbach
SVF
70%
17%
12%
50 30 20 0
12 Oct. 2024
PFO
CfR Pforzheim
2 - 3
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
32%
25%
43%
50 45 5 0
04 Oct. 2024
SGS
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
5 - 0
FC 08 Villingen II
FCV
74%
16%
10%
50 23 27 0
29 Sep. 2024
VFR
VfR Mannheim
0 - 2
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
17%
23%
60%
49 37 12 +1

Matches

FSV Hollenbach
FSV Hollenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
FSV
FSV Hollenbach
2 - 0
TSG Balingen
BAL
19%
21%
61%
31 48 17 0
19 Oct. 2024
OBE
Oberachern
2 - 0
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
65%
17%
18%
32 39 7 -1
12 Oct. 2024
VFR
VfR Aalen
1 - 1
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
62%
21%
17%
32 43 11 0
03 Oct. 2024
FSV
FSV Hollenbach
2 - 2
SV Fellbach
SVF
46%
22%
32%
32 30 2 0
28 Sep. 2024
PFO
CfR Pforzheim
5 - 0
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
66%
19%
15%
33 45 12 -1