Oberliga Baden-Württemberg round 15

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach vs FSV Hollenbach analysis

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach FSV Hollenbach
51 ELO 35
1.9% Tilt -1.6%
4801º General ELO ranking 8384º
154º Country ELO ranking 344º
ELO win probability
68%
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
18.2%
Draw
13.7%
FSV Hollenbach

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
8%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
18.2%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.2%
13.7%
Win probability
FSV Hollenbach
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
+46%
-2%
FSV Hollenbach

Points and table prediction

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
Their league position
FSV Hollenbach
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
25
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
52
85
89%
TSG Balingen
41
76
64%
VfR Mannheim
40
70
52.5%
VfR Aalen
30
60
24.5%
CfR Pforzheim
32
60
26%
Nottingen
26
56
24%
Oberachern
27
52
23.5%
FSV Hollenbach
25
49
19%
Bissingen
10º
23
47
23%
Normannia Gmünd
24
43
10º
17%
TSV Essingen
12º
20
39
11º
19.5%
Reutlingen
11º
21
39
12º
12.5%
SV Fellbach
14º
17
35
13º
19%
TSG Backnang
13º
18
33
14º
12%
Zuzenhausen
15º
15
31
15º
19%
Ravensburg
16º
14
30
16º
18%
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
17º
12
27
17º
28%
FC 08 Villingen II
18º
9
24
18º
58.5%
Expected probabilities
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
FSV Hollenbach
Promotion
89% 0%
Promotion play-offs
10.5% 0.5%
Mid-table
0.5% 99.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
FSV Hollenbach
Reutlingen
Leinfelden-Echterdingen
Bissingen
Nottingen
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
VFR
VfR Aalen
0 - 2
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
30%
25%
45%
50 45 5 0
20 Oct. 2024
SGS
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
6 - 0
SV Fellbach
SVF
70%
17%
12%
50 30 20 0
12 Oct. 2024
PFO
CfR Pforzheim
2 - 3
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
32%
25%
43%
50 45 5 0
04 Oct. 2024
SGS
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
5 - 0
FC 08 Villingen II
FCV
74%
16%
10%
50 23 27 0
29 Sep. 2024
VFR
VfR Mannheim
0 - 2
SG Sonnenhof Großaspach
SGS
17%
23%
60%
49 37 12 +1

Matches

FSV Hollenbach
FSV Hollenbach
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Oct. 2024
FSV
FSV Hollenbach
2 - 0
TSG Balingen
BAL
19%
21%
61%
31 48 17 0
19 Oct. 2024
OBE
Oberachern
2 - 0
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
65%
17%
18%
32 39 7 -1
12 Oct. 2024
VFR
VfR Aalen
1 - 1
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
62%
21%
17%
32 43 11 0
03 Oct. 2024
FSV
FSV Hollenbach
2 - 2
SV Fellbach
SVF
46%
22%
32%
32 30 2 0
28 Sep. 2024
PFO
CfR Pforzheim
5 - 0
FSV Hollenbach
FSV
66%
19%
15%
33 45 12 -1