Son Ferrer B vs Santa Mónica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.5%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.4%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
73.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.2%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Son Ferrer B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
CAL
6 - 0
FER
71%
16%
13%
|
5 | 10 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
FER
1 - 4
CAR
35%
22%
44%
|
5 | 7 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
LLU
4 - 1
FER
44%
22%
34%
|
7 | 5 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Santa Mónica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
6 - 2
PON
45%
22%
34%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
MAC
1 - 2
SAM
16%
18%
66%
|
13 | 6 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2016 |
SAM
4 - 2
TAU
76%
14%
10%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |