Sogndal vs Stabæk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
29.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
46.3%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14%
0-3
4.1%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-16%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
3º
10º
10º
33
1º
8º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
55 | 68 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 56 |
2º
|
69.5% | |
|
3º
|
42 | 50 |
3º
|
35% | |
|
5º
|
36 | 49 |
4º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
38 | 48 |
5º
|
23.5% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 44 |
6º
|
19.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 44 |
7º
|
24% | |
|
|
8º
|
33 | 43 |
8º
|
19.5% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 41 |
9º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
30 | 37 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
13º
|
25 | 35 |
11º
|
18% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 35 |
12º
|
14.5% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
13º
|
25% | |
|
14º
|
25 | 32 |
14º
|
31.5% | |
|
15º
|
22 | 27 |
15º
|
82% | |
|
16º
|
16 | 20 |
16º
|
96% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
2.5% | 31% |
|
Mid-table
|
89% | 69% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
7.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
1% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sogndal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 May. 2024 |
IKS
2 - 1
SOG
44%
25%
32%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
SOG
1 - 1
RAU
54%
24%
23%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
ELP
0 - 2
SOG
34%
26%
40%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SOG
5 - 1
SAN
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | +2 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
LEV
0 - 0
SOG
60%
22%
19%
|
59 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 May. 2024 |
STB
4 - 5
EGE
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2024 |
RAN
3 - 0
STB
18%
22%
60%
|
70 | 54 | 16 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2024 |
STB
2 - 2
LYN
52%
25%
23%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 3
STB
17%
22%
61%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
STB
5 - 1
BRY
51%
24%
25%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | +2 |