Socorrense vs Lagarto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.7%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
7.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
31.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-96%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Socorrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 2
EST
32%
25%
44%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
EST
0 - 0
SOC
61%
21%
18%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
SOC
43%
26%
31%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
SOC
0 - 1
CON
27%
27%
46%
|
35 | 45 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
SOC
1 - 1
CON
27%
27%
47%
|
34 | 45 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Lagarto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
CON
2 - 0
LAG
69%
20%
12%
|
33 | 47 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
0 - 1
CON
23%
25%
52%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 0
SOC
43%
26%
31%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
EST
2 - 0
LAG
59%
22%
19%
|
34 | 40 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
LAG
1 - 1
BOQ
56%
23%
21%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |