Castiadas vs Fiuggi analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
16.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
4.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.5%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
65%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.5%
0-4
4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Castiadas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
AVE
1 - 0
CAS
88%
10%
3%
|
23 | 57 | 34 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 2018 |
CAS
0 - 2
ANA
63%
19%
18%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
ANZ
2 - 1
CAS
24%
22%
55%
|
25 | 17 | 8 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
CAS
2 - 2
ALB
10%
15%
74%
|
23 | 43 | 20 | +2 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
LAD
1 - 2
CAS
31%
22%
47%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Fiuggi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
SFF
0 - 2
MON
56%
22%
21%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2018 |
ULD
2 - 0
SFF
23%
22%
56%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Oct. 2018 |
SFF
3 - 0
FLA
66%
17%
17%
|
38 | 34 | 4 | +1 |
| 24 Oct. 2018 |
LAN
2 - 1
SFF
29%
25%
45%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2018 |
SFF
3 - 2
SSC
72%
15%
13%
|
39 | 32 | 7 | 0 |