SG Lucense vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.2%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
36.3%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SG Lucense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
BAR
6 - 0
SGL
66%
17%
18%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
SGL
5 - 2
NUM
63%
19%
19%
|
49 | 48 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
UES
4 - 1
SGL
74%
13%
13%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
SAB
7 - 0
SGL
82%
11%
8%
|
51 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
RCF
3 - 0
SGL
55%
20%
25%
|
52 | 50 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
SPO
2 - 1
BAD
73%
15%
12%
|
74 | 52 | 22 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
HUE
1 - 1
SPO
45%
23%
33%
|
74 | 55 | 19 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1951 |
SPO
3 - 0
OVI
64%
18%
18%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Mar. 1951 |
LOG
0 - 2
SPO
44%
23%
34%
|
73 | 52 | 21 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 1951 |
SPO
5 - 0
OSA
76%
14%
10%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |