Smederevo vs Rad Beograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
23%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
4%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.1%
+2
5.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
16.1%
29.8%
Draw
0-0
13.7%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
29.8%
47.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
16.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
26%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.3%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-64%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
JAV
4 - 0
SME
64%
24%
12%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
SME
1 - 2
VOJ
14%
27%
59%
|
57 | 80 | 23 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
SME
0 - 1
SLO
25%
28%
46%
|
57 | 69 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 0
SME
87%
10%
3%
|
58 | 81 | 23 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2012 |
SME
0 - 2
BEO
25%
28%
47%
|
59 | 69 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Rad Beograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
RAD
1 - 1
CRV
28%
28%
44%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
1 - 1
RAD
51%
28%
22%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2012 |
RAD
1 - 1
RAD
30%
30%
40%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2012 |
RAD
2 - 0
NPA
66%
21%
13%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2012 |
RAD
0 - 1
JAG
54%
25%
22%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | -1 |