Smederevo vs Partizan Belgrade analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3.2%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
3.7%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
11%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
9.5%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.9%
61.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
15.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
26.8%
0-2
13.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.1%
0-3
7.4%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.7%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.8%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Smederevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
JAG
3 - 0
SME
60%
24%
16%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
SME
0 - 1
BEO
38%
30%
32%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
SLO
2 - 1
SME
52%
26%
22%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
SME
2 - 0
NPA
53%
27%
21%
|
67 | 61 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2012 |
MET
0 - 1
SME
35%
29%
36%
|
66 | 59 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Partizan Belgrade
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
2 - 1
JAV
83%
12%
5%
|
82 | 68 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
0 - 2
CRV
60%
21%
19%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2012 |
FKS
1 - 2
PAR
23%
26%
51%
|
82 | 71 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2012 |
PAR
4 - 1
VOJ
61%
21%
18%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2012 |
RAD
1 - 4
PAR
29%
26%
45%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |