Varnsdorf vs Pribram analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.5%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
19.8%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.8%
17.7%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
36
8º
16º
14º
35
4º
15º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
60 | 60 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
57 | 57 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 49 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 40 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 39 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
|
15º
|
35 | 37 |
12º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
|
13º
|
36 | 36 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
35 | 35 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
25 | 25 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Varnsdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2024 |
VIZ
1 - 1
SLO
45%
25%
30%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
SLO
3 - 2
HAN
66%
19%
15%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
VJI
3 - 3
SLO
38%
26%
37%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
VYS
2 - 1
SLO
55%
24%
22%
|
61 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SLO
5 - 1
PRO
60%
20%
20%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Pribram
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
VJI
33%
26%
41%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2024 |
PRO
2 - 1
PRI
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
PRI
0 - 2
ZBR
30%
25%
45%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
CHR
6 - 3
PRI
50%
24%
26%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
PRI
1 - 1
FKM
30%
26%
44%
|
57 | 63 | 6 | +1 |