UEFA Intertoto Cup Quarter-finals
Global 2-1
Slovan Liberec vs Roda JC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.6%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
19.8%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Slovan Liberec
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2004 |
SLI
5 - 0
DUB
72%
18%
10%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2004 |
DUB
1 - 2
SLI
32%
28%
40%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2004 |
SLI
3 - 0
VIZ
60%
23%
17%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2004 |
SPA
1 - 0
SLI
52%
26%
22%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2004 |
SLP
1 - 2
SLI
56%
24%
20%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Roda JC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 May. 2004 |
GRO
2 - 2
RJC
26%
26%
48%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 May. 2004 |
RJC
2 - 0
VIT
57%
24%
19%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2004 |
TWE
1 - 2
RJC
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2004 |
RJC
1 - 1
UTR
44%
25%
31%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2004 |
RKC
1 - 1
RJC
37%
26%
37%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |