Sloga Mravince vs Primorac Biograd analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.5%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.6%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
27.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
-15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
33
5º
12º
12º
37
1º
14º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 67 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 57 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 50 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 46 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
62.5% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
47% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
8º
|
45.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
74.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
|
11º
|
34 | 35 |
11º
|
42% | |
|
|
12º
|
33 | 34 |
12º
|
55.5% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 32 |
13º
|
68.5% | |
|
14º
|
30 | 30 |
14º
|
82.5% | |
|
15º
|
27 | 28 |
15º
|
95% | |
|
16º
|
21 | 22 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sloga Mravince
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
JUN
1 - 0
SMR
77%
15%
8%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
SMR
7 - 1
NER
36%
23%
41%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +3 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
NKG
1 - 1
SMR
69%
18%
14%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SMR
1 - 5
ZAG
9%
18%
73%
|
28 | 50 | 22 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
SMR
0 - 2
NER
33%
23%
44%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Primorac Biograd
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2024 |
PRB
2 - 4
NER
34%
23%
42%
|
32 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
KAM
1 - 0
PRB
39%
23%
38%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
PRB
0 - 1
USK
47%
24%
30%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
VOD
2 - 0
PRB
45%
23%
32%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2024 |
PRB
1 - 2
SPL
66%
18%
15%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |