SKRA Częstochowa vs GKS Pogon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.6%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.8%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
49.9%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.9%
0-2
9.1%
1-3
5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+77%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
13
12º
17º
16º
49
1º
4º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
49 | 79 |
1º
|
71.5% | |
|
2º
|
45 | 72 |
2º
|
42% | |
|
3º
|
41 | 71 |
3º
|
42.5% | |
|
4º
|
34 | 59 |
4º
|
51.5% | |
|
6º
|
29 | 51 |
5º
|
24% | |
|
7º
|
29 | 51 |
6º
|
20% | |
|
9º
|
24 | 48 |
7º
|
14.5% | |
|
5º
|
29 | 48 |
8º
|
12.5% | |
|
8º
|
27 | 46 |
9º
|
11% | |
|
10º
|
23 | 44 |
10º
|
13% | |
|
13º
|
19 | 41 |
11º
|
13.5% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 41 |
12º
|
11.5% | |
|
12º
|
22 | 40 |
13º
|
13.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 38 |
14º
|
9.5% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 33 |
15º
|
16.5% | |
|
|
17º
|
13 | 33 |
16º
|
29% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 32 |
17º
|
25% | |
|
18º
|
11 | 23 |
18º
|
79% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 91.5% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 8.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
12.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
15.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
72% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKRA Częstochowa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 1
SKR
48%
26%
27%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2024 |
KOT
2 - 1
SKR
64%
21%
15%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SKR
1 - 4
HUT
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
KAL
1 - 0
SKR
70%
19%
11%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
LKS
3 - 1
SKR
49%
26%
25%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
GKS Pogon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
PGM
4 - 1
SKO
47%
25%
28%
|
60 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
MGJ
0 - 1
PGM
44%
25%
31%
|
59 | 61 | 2 | +1 |
| 28 Jul. 2024 |
PGM
3 - 1
POD
39%
25%
35%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Jul. 2024 |
PGM
2 - 0
TSP
34%
26%
40%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +2 |
| 12 Jul. 2024 |
PGM
4 - 2
POL
30%
24%
46%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |