SKN St. Polten vs Fortuna 05 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.9%
Win probability
2.54
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.7%
4-0
7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
11%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.2%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.4%
7.7%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SKN St. Polten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
SKN
1 - 2
FCW
58%
22%
21%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2004 |
AUS
0 - 3
SKN
40%
26%
35%
|
46 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
SKN
4 - 0
SVR
57%
22%
21%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
OBE
2 - 2
SKN
39%
24%
37%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2004 |
SKN
3 - 0
EIS
54%
23%
24%
|
44 | 45 | 1 | +2 |
Matches
Fortuna 05
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 2
OBE
33%
25%
43%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2004 |
FOR
2 - 1
WIE
15%
20%
66%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2004 |
SCF
1 - 1
FOR
68%
19%
14%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2004 |
EIS
1 - 0
FOR
75%
17%
9%
|
29 | 43 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2004 |
KOT
1 - 2
FOR
74%
17%
10%
|
28 | 44 | 16 | +1 |