3. Division round 17

Skjetten vs Lillestrom II analysis

Skjetten Lillestrom II
22 ELO 24
9.2% Tilt 10.3%
9366º General ELO ranking 10510º
118º Country ELO ranking 129º
ELO win probability
27.9%
Skjetten
20.4%
Draw
51.7%
Lillestrom II

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.9%
Win probability
Skjetten
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
14.8%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.4%
51.7%
Win probability
Lillestrom II
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5.1%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Skjetten
+35%
+5%
Lillestrom II

Points and table prediction

Skjetten
Their league position
Lillestrom II
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
14º
29
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lysekloster
70
70
100%
Frigg
56
56
100%
Fana
51
51
100%
Os Turn
48
48
100%
Sandviken
44
44
100%
Gjelleråsen
42
42
100%
Skjetten
38
38
100%
Stabæk II
34
34
100%
Lillestrom II
29
29
100%
Lokomotiv Oslo
10º
28
28
10º
100%
Skedsmo
11º
25
25
11º
100%
Gneist
12º
22
22
12º
100%
Ullern II
13º
16
16
13º
100%
Grorud II
14º
15
15
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Skjetten
Lillestrom II
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Skjetten
Lillestrom II
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Skjetten
Skjetten
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Aug. 2023
SKE
Skedsmo
1 - 1
Skjetten
SKJ
64%
18%
18%
20 24 4 0
12 Aug. 2023
SKJ
Skjetten
2 - 0
Gneist
ILG
78%
13%
9%
20 14 6 0
16 Jul. 2023
LYS
Lysekloster
5 - 1
Skjetten
SKJ
88%
9%
3%
20 46 26 0
10 Jul. 2023
SKJ
Skjetten
2 - 1
Ullern II
ULL
62%
18%
20%
20 18 2 0
03 Jul. 2023
LIL
Lillestrom II
0 - 1
Skjetten
SKJ
83%
11%
6%
19 31 12 +1

Matches

Lillestrom II
Lillestrom II
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Aug. 2023
LIL
Lillestrom II
0 - 1
Os Turn
OTF
21%
19%
60%
26 39 13 0
13 Aug. 2023
FAN
Fana
7 - 1
Lillestrom II
LIL
71%
16%
14%
27 36 9 -1
17 Jul. 2023
LIL
Lillestrom II
2 - 2
Stabæk II
STA
49%
20%
31%
27 30 3 0
10 Jul. 2023
SKE
Skedsmo
4 - 0
Lillestrom II
LIL
25%
21%
55%
30 22 8 -3
03 Jul. 2023
LIL
Lillestrom II
0 - 1
Skjetten
SKJ
83%
11%
6%
31 19 12 -1