KF Shkëndija vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
27
1º
2º
1º
11
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
27 | 41 |
1º
|
45% | |
|
2º
|
27 | 41 |
2º
|
26.5% | |
|
3º
|
27 | 40 |
3º
|
23% | |
|
4º
|
25 | 39 |
4º
|
20.5% | |
|
5º
|
25 | 39 |
5º
|
20% | |
|
6º
|
16 | 30 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
8º
|
15 | 26 |
7º
|
27% | |
|
7º
|
16 | 24 |
8º
|
22.5% | |
|
9º
|
13 | 21 |
9º
|
17.5% | |
|
10º
|
11 | 19 |
10º
|
22.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
11 | 19 |
11º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
10 | 18 |
12º
|
34% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
45% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
38.5% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
16.5% | 8.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 58% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
3 - 1
SHK
29%
27%
44%
|
66 | 58 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SHK
5 - 1
VOK
64%
21%
15%
|
66 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
JEN
0 - 5
SHK
4%
11%
85%
|
65 | 7 | 58 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
SHK
1 - 1
SHK
43%
26%
31%
|
65 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
BES
1 - 3
SHK
17%
22%
61%
|
65 | 52 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
0 - 1
SIL
34%
28%
38%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TIK
0 - 3
VAR
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Sep. 2024 |
NOV
0 - 2
VAR
15%
21%
63%
|
51 | 30 | 21 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
GOS
1 - 1
VAR
59%
23%
18%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
VAR
4 - 0
GOR
31%
23%
46%
|
51 | 52 | 1 | 0 |