First League round 8

KF Shkëndija vs FK Vardar analysis

KF Shkëndija FK Vardar
67 ELO 53
4.9% Tilt 0.5%
1661º General ELO ranking 3150º
Country ELO ranking 12º
ELO win probability
69.3%
KF Shkëndija
19.6%
Draw
11.1%
FK Vardar

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
69.3%
Win probability
KF Shkëndija
2.02
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.1%
Win probability
FK Vardar
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

ELO51.952.953.954.9565758596061626364.165.166.167.1-23.7%-20.9%-18.1%-15.3%-12.4%-9.6%-6.8%-4%-1.2%1.6%4.4%7.2%10%12.8%15.6%18.4%21.3%24.1%26.9%29.7%
← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
KF Shkëndija
+13%
+3%
FK Vardar

Points and table prediction

KF Shkëndija
Their league position
FK Vardar
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
16
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
11º13579111315171921
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
KF Shkëndija
43
46
79.5%
Rabotnički
40
43
38.5%
Gostivar
39
42
38.5%
Sileks
38
42
53%
Struga
32
35
86%
Shkupi
28
32
86%
Pelister
23
24
87%
AP Brera
20
23
79%
FK Vardar
16
19
45%
Voska Sport
11º
15
18
10º
29%
Tikvesh
10º
15
16
11º
35.5%
KF Besa
12º
14
15
12º
46%
Expected probabilities
KF Shkëndija
FK Vardar
Champions League qualifying phase
79.5% 0%
Conference League knock out round
20.5% 0%
Mid-table
0% 3%
Relegation play-offs
0% 71%
Relegation
0% 26%

ELO progression

50º53º56º59º62º65º68ºNov .23Feb .24May .24Aug .24
KF Shkëndija
FK Vardar
KF Besa
Rabotnički
Tikvesh
Struga
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

KF Shkëndija
KF Shkëndija
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2024
GOS
Gostivar
3 - 1
KF Shkëndija
SHK
29%
27%
44%
67 60 7 0
22 Sep. 2024
SHK
KF Shkëndija
5 - 1
Voska Sport
VOK
64%
21%
15%
67 55 12 0
18 Sep. 2024
JEN
Jenimaale Bitola
0 - 5
KF Shkëndija
SHK
4%
11%
85%
66 8 58 +1
15 Sep. 2024
SHK
Shkupi
1 - 1
KF Shkëndija
SHK
43%
26%
31%
66 65 1 0
07 Sep. 2024
BES
KF Besa
1 - 3
KF Shkëndija
SHK
17%
22%
61%
66 53 13 0

Matches

FK Vardar
FK Vardar
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Sep. 2024
VAR
FK Vardar
0 - 1
Sileks
SIL
34%
28%
38%
55 59 4 0
22 Sep. 2024
TIK
Tikvesh
0 - 3
FK Vardar
VAR
58%
23%
19%
53 58 5 +2
18 Sep. 2024
NOV
Novaci
0 - 2
FK Vardar
VAR
15%
21%
63%
52 32 20 +1
15 Sep. 2024
GOS
Gostivar
1 - 1
FK Vardar
VAR
59%
23%
18%
52 59 7 0
07 Sep. 2024
VAR
FK Vardar
4 - 0
Gorno Lisiče
GOR
31%
23%
46%
52 53 1 0