KF Shkëndija vs AP Brera analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3%
3-0
6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
14.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.4%
19.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
13.3%
0-2
3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
64
1º
3º
1º
39
1º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
64 | 64 |
1º
|
0% | |
|
2º
|
64 | 64 |
2º
|
0% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
42 | 42 |
9º
|
0% | |
|
10º
|
37 | 37 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 29 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
28 | 28 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
KF Shkëndija
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2023 |
VAR
0 - 2
SHK
19%
24%
56%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
FCS
45%
28%
26%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
GOS
2 - 2
SHK
19%
24%
57%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
MAK
45%
27%
28%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
SIL
2 - 1
SHK
35%
27%
39%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
AP Brera
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
AKP
0 - 1
GOS
58%
24%
19%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
MAK
1 - 0
AKP
45%
27%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
AKP
1 - 1
SIL
40%
28%
33%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2023 |
KGE
0 - 2
AKP
17%
22%
61%
|
60 | 47 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SHK
1 - 0
AKP
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 67 | 7 | 0 |