FNL round 15

SKA-Khabarovsk vs Ural Yekaterinburg analysis

SKA-Khabarovsk Ural Yekaterinburg
55 ELO 67
-4.9% Tilt -0.2%
2837º General ELO ranking 1354º
31º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
22.5%
SKA-Khabarovsk
26.7%
Draw
50.8%
Ural Yekaterinburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
SKA-Khabarovsk
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.7%
Win probability
Ural Yekaterinburg
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SKA-Khabarovsk
+2%
+4%
Ural Yekaterinburg

Points and table prediction

SKA-Khabarovsk
Their league position
Ural Yekaterinburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
24
18º
30
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Baltika Kaliningrad
36
67
46%
Torpedo Moscow
36
64
28.5%
Sochi
28
59
25.5%
Ural Yekaterinburg
30
59
19%
Arsenal Tula
29
51
19%
Rodina Moskva
24
49
13%
Chernomorets Novorossisk
27
49
10%
Yenisey
11º
23
48
14.5%
SKA-Khabarovsk
24
46
14%
Chayka
25
44
10º
11.5%
Rotor Volgograd
10º
23
42
11º
13.5%
KamAZ
12º
22
41
12º
8.5%
Neftekhimik
13º
22
41
13º
15.5%
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
15º
18
40
14º
11.5%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
16º
18
37
15º
16%
Ufa
17º
17
33
16º
23.5%
Sokol Saratov
14º
19
32
17º
33.5%
Tyumen
18º
9
28
18º
56%
Expected probabilities
SKA-Khabarovsk
Ural Yekaterinburg
Promotion
0.5% 29%
Promotion play-offs
6.5% 45.5%
Mid-table
90.5% 25.5%
Relegation
2.5% 0%

ELO progression

SKA-Khabarovsk
Ural Yekaterinburg
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Yenisey
Torpedo Moscow
Chayka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA-Khabarovsk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
ROT
Rotor Volgograd
1 - 1
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
43%
27%
30%
54 56 2 0
05 Oct. 2024
UFA
Ufa
3 - 3
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
39%
27%
34%
54 54 0 0
29 Sep. 2024
SKA
SKA-Khabarovsk
2 - 1
Tyumen
TYU
44%
26%
30%
54 52 2 0
25 Sep. 2024
URA
Ural Yekaterinburg
1 - 0
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
65%
20%
14%
54 67 13 0
21 Sep. 2024
YEN
Yenisey
2 - 2
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
57%
23%
20%
54 58 4 0

Matches

Ural Yekaterinburg
Ural Yekaterinburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2024
SOK
Sokol Saratov
1 - 3
Ural Yekaterinburg
URA
11%
20%
69%
67 49 18 0
12 Oct. 2024
URA
Ural Yekaterinburg
1 - 0
Tyumen
TYU
66%
21%
13%
66 51 15 +1
05 Oct. 2024
URA
Ural Yekaterinburg
1 - 1
Torpedo Moscow
TOR
51%
26%
24%
66 61 5 0
29 Sep. 2024
YEN
Yenisey
3 - 0
Ural Yekaterinburg
URA
33%
27%
40%
68 58 10 -2
25 Sep. 2024
URA
Ural Yekaterinburg
1 - 0
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
65%
20%
14%
67 54 13 +1