FNL round 15

SKA-Khabarovsk vs Ural Yekaterinburg analysis

SKA-Khabarovsk Ural Yekaterinburg
55 ELO 67
-4.9% Tilt -0.2%
2844º General ELO ranking 1358º
31º Country ELO ranking 14º
ELO win probability
22.5%
SKA-Khabarovsk
26.7%
Draw
50.8%
Ural Yekaterinburg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.6%
Win probability
SKA-Khabarovsk
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.2%
26.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
26.7%
50.7%
Win probability
Ural Yekaterinburg
1.45
Expected goals
0-1
14.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.4%
0-3
5%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SKA-Khabarovsk
+3%
+5%
Ural Yekaterinburg

Points and table prediction

SKA-Khabarovsk
Their league position
Ural Yekaterinburg
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
18º
11º
33
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Baltika Kaliningrad
39
67
56.5%
Torpedo Moscow
37
62
29.5%
Sochi
34
61
23.5%
Ural Yekaterinburg
33
61
21%
Arsenal Tula
30
52
20.5%
Chernomorets Novorossisk
30
52
14%
Rodina Moskva
10º
24
48
11%
Yenisey
12º
23
47
15%
Rotor Volgograd
26
45
8%
Chayka
26
45
10º
13%
SKA-Khabarovsk
25
44
11º
7.5%
Neftekhimik
11º
23
42
12º
16.5%
KamAZ
13º
22
38
13º
17%
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
17º
18
37
14º
13.5%
Shinnik Yaroslavl
15º
19
35
15º
18.5%
Ufa
14º
20
33
16º
30.5%
Sokol Saratov
16º
19
29
17º
37%
Tyumen
18º
9
25
18º
57.5%
Expected probabilities
SKA-Khabarovsk
Ural Yekaterinburg
Promotion
0% 32%
Promotion play-offs
2.5% 46.5%
Mid-table
93% 21.5%
Relegation
4.5% 0%

ELO progression

SKA-Khabarovsk
Ural Yekaterinburg
Alaniya Vladikavkaz
Sokol Saratov
Chayka
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA-Khabarovsk
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Oct. 2024
ROT
Rotor Volgograd
1 - 1
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
43%
27%
30%
54 56 2 0
05 Oct. 2024
UFA
Ufa
3 - 3
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
39%
27%
34%
54 54 0 0
29 Sep. 2024
SKA
SKA-Khabarovsk
2 - 1
Tyumen
TYU
44%
26%
30%
54 52 2 0
25 Sep. 2024
URA
Ural Yekaterinburg
1 - 0
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
65%
20%
14%
54 67 13 0
21 Sep. 2024
YEN
Yenisey
2 - 2
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
57%
23%
20%
54 58 4 0

Matches

Ural Yekaterinburg
Ural Yekaterinburg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2024
SOK
Sokol Saratov
1 - 3
Ural Yekaterinburg
URA
11%
20%
69%
67 49 18 0
12 Oct. 2024
URA
Ural Yekaterinburg
1 - 0
Tyumen
TYU
66%
21%
13%
66 51 15 +1
05 Oct. 2024
URA
Ural Yekaterinburg
1 - 1
Torpedo Moscow
TOR
51%
26%
24%
66 61 5 0
29 Sep. 2024
YEN
Yenisey
3 - 0
Ural Yekaterinburg
URA
33%
27%
40%
68 58 10 -2
25 Sep. 2024
URA
Ural Yekaterinburg
1 - 0
SKA-Khabarovsk
SKA
65%
20%
14%
67 54 13 +1