SIU Edwardsville vs Missouri State analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
15.6%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
10.2%
18.8%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.8%
65.7%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
9.6%
1-3
7.4%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
19.5%
0-3
7.3%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
12.6%
0-4
4.1%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SIU Edwardsville
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 2021 |
SIU
3 - 2
NIH
22%
20%
58%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2021 |
WMB
2 - 3
SIU
71%
16%
13%
|
17 | 22 | 5 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
NIH
2 - 0
SIU
74%
15%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2021 |
SIU
0 - 2
WVM
22%
20%
58%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2021 |
SIU
0 - 2
AZF
31%
22%
48%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Missouri State
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 2021 |
WAH
2 - 0
MSB
44%
22%
34%
|
35 | 35 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2021 |
MLT
1 - 2
MSB
22%
20%
58%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
MSB
1 - 0
LYR
63%
19%
19%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2021 |
MSB
3 - 1
BLB
90%
8%
3%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
MSB
0 - 2
LYR
71%
16%
13%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | -2 |