First Division Temporada Regular round 5

Sirens vs Mtarfa analysis

Sirens Mtarfa
55 ELO 45
6% Tilt -1.9%
3231º General ELO ranking 4938º
17º Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
59.1%
Sirens
21.4%
Draw
19.5%
Mtarfa

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.1%
Win probability
Sirens
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.7%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.3%
2-0
9.5%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
19.5%
Win probability
Mtarfa
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sirens
-7%
-2%
Mtarfa

ELO progression

Sirens
Mtarfa
Pieta Hotspurs
Santa Lucía
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sirens
Sirens
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
SAI
Saint Andrews
1 - 1
Sirens
SIR
34%
26%
40%
55 50 5 0
29 Sep. 2024
SIR
Sirens
2 - 2
Zebbug Rangers
ZEB
51%
23%
25%
54 51 3 +1
21 Sep. 2024
GUD
Gudja United
1 - 2
Sirens
SIR
36%
26%
39%
54 48 6 0
14 Sep. 2024
SIR
Sirens
0 - 3
Valletta FC
VAL
24%
25%
50%
54 66 12 0
02 May. 2024
SLI
Sliema Wanderers
3 - 0
Sirens
SIR
61%
24%
15%
55 69 14 -1

Matches

Mtarfa
Mtarfa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
19 Oct. 2024
MTA
Mtarfa
0 - 2
Mgarr United FC
MGA
29%
24%
47%
46 55 9 0
28 Sep. 2024
SEN
Senglea Athletic
2 - 1
Mtarfa
MTA
53%
23%
23%
46 53 7 0
22 Sep. 2024
MTA
Mtarfa
1 - 2
Fgura United FC
FUN
35%
25%
41%
47 52 5 -1
15 Sep. 2024
TAR
Tarxien Rainbows
2 - 0
Mtarfa
MTA
58%
22%
20%
47 55 8 0
20 Apr. 2024
MTA
Mtarfa
0 - 2
Mgarr United FC
MGA
34%
25%
42%
48 54 6 -1