Serie B round 18

Siracusa vs Roma analysis

Siracusa Roma
61 ELO 74
-9.2% Tilt -14.2%
2901º General ELO ranking 30º
68º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
43%
Siracusa
25.2%
Draw
31.7%
Roma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43%
Win probability
Siracusa
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.9%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.7%
Win probability
Roma
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Siracusa
+13%
+1%
Roma

ELO progression

Siracusa
Roma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Siracusa
Siracusa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 1952
TRE
Treviso
1 - 1
Siracusa
SIR
60%
21%
19%
61 62 1 0
06 Jan. 1952
VER
Hellas Verona
3 - 0
Siracusa
SIR
61%
21%
18%
61 61 0 0
30 Dec. 1951
SIR
Siracusa
2 - 1
Genoa
GEN
37%
23%
39%
61 73 12 0
23 Dec. 1951
SIR
Siracusa
1 - 0
Brescia
BRE
55%
21%
24%
60 65 5 +1
16 Dec. 1951
PIS
Pisa SC
1 - 0
Siracusa
SIR
57%
21%
22%
61 59 2 -1

Matches

Roma
Roma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Jan. 1952
CAT
Catania
0 - 1
Roma
ROM
44%
26%
31%
74 63 11 0
06 Jan. 1952
ROM
Roma
3 - 0
Livorno
LIV
67%
19%
14%
73 61 12 +1
30 Dec. 1951
BRE
Brescia
1 - 0
Roma
ROM
43%
26%
31%
74 64 10 -1
23 Dec. 1951
ROM
Roma
4 - 0
Reggiana
REG
67%
19%
15%
74 60 14 0
16 Dec. 1951
ROM
Roma
3 - 0
Juve Stabia
JUS
76%
14%
10%
73 53 20 +1