Serie B round 14

Siracusa vs Brescia analysis

Siracusa Brescia
61 ELO 64
-7.4% Tilt -13.9%
2672º General ELO ranking 662º
68º Country ELO ranking 32º
ELO win probability
55.1%
Siracusa
21%
Draw
23.9%
Brescia

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.1%
Win probability
Siracusa
2.09
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9.6%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
23.9%
Win probability
Brescia
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.9%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Siracusa
+14%
-3%
Brescia

ELO progression

Siracusa
Brescia
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Siracusa
Siracusa
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 1951
PIS
Pisa SC
1 - 0
Siracusa
SIR
57%
21%
22%
61 59 2 0
09 Dec. 1951
ATP
Atlético de Piombino
0 - 1
Siracusa
SIR
68%
17%
15%
60 63 3 +1
02 Dec. 1951
SIR
Siracusa
1 - 3
ACR Messina
MES
60%
20%
20%
61 63 2 -1
18 Nov. 1951
SIR
Siracusa
0 - 0
Juve Stabia
JUS
72%
16%
13%
61 52 9 0
04 Nov. 1951
CAT
Catania
1 - 0
Siracusa
SIR
60%
20%
20%
61 62 1 0

Matches

Brescia
Brescia
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Dec. 1951
BRE
Brescia
2 - 2
Venezia
VNZ
59%
22%
19%
65 58 7 0
09 Dec. 1951
ACM
AC Marzotto
1 - 1
Brescia
BRE
56%
21%
24%
65 58 7 0
02 Dec. 1951
BRE
Brescia
1 - 0
Atlético de Piombino
ATP
55%
21%
24%
65 64 1 0
18 Nov. 1951
MOD
Modena
2 - 2
Brescia
BRE
53%
23%
24%
64 66 2 +1
04 Nov. 1951
JUS
Juve Stabia
2 - 2
Brescia
BRE
46%
23%
31%
65 51 14 -1