Super League Playoffs Promotion round 14

Sion vs Aarau analysis

Sion Aarau
70 ELO 76
2.5% Tilt -2.2%
284º General ELO ranking 973º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
36.6%
Sion
25.8%
Draw
37.6%
Aarau

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.6%
Win probability
Sion
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.6%
1-0
9%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
37.6%
Win probability
Aarau
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sion
-3%
+21%
Aarau

ELO progression

Sion
Aarau
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sion
Sion
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2003
STG
St. Gallen
1 - 0
Sion
SIO
68%
19%
13%
69 79 10 0
21 May. 2003
SIO
Sion
3 - 0
SC Kriens
KRI
49%
24%
27%
68 68 0 +1
18 May. 2003
DEL
Delemont
2 - 1
Sion
SIO
50%
24%
26%
69 66 3 -1
04 May. 2003
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 1
Sion
SIO
58%
22%
20%
69 72 3 0
26 Apr. 2003
FCL
Luzern
1 - 1
Sion
SIO
54%
23%
22%
68 69 1 +1

Matches

Aarau
Aarau
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 May. 2003
FCA
Aarau
4 - 2
Luzern
FCL
50%
24%
26%
76 72 4 0
21 May. 2003
FCV
FC Vaduz
3 - 6
Aarau
FCA
40%
26%
34%
75 70 5 +1
08 May. 2003
FCA
Aarau
2 - 0
Delemont
DEL
61%
22%
16%
75 67 8 0
04 May. 2003
KRI
SC Kriens
1 - 4
Aarau
FCA
42%
26%
32%
74 69 5 +1
26 Apr. 2003
FCA
Aarau
1 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
38%
25%
37%
73 79 6 +1