Sintrense vs União da Serra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19%
1-0
11.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16.9%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-2%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
1º
10º
7º
27
2º
10º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
48 | 52 |
1º
|
53% | |
|
1º
|
48 | 51 |
2º
|
33% | |
|
3º
|
47 | 51 |
3º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 44 |
4º
|
75.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 43 |
5º
|
60.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
6º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
38 | 39 |
7º
|
36.5% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 39 |
8º
|
57% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 34 |
9º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
27 | 31 |
10º
|
60.5% | |
|
11º
|
25 | 28 |
11º
|
78% | |
|
12º
|
16 | 19 |
12º
|
65.5% | |
|
14º
|
6 | 17 |
13º
|
50% | |
|
13º
|
11 | 12 |
14º
|
84.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
100% | 80% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 20% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sintrense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
SER
1 - 0
SIN
35%
29%
36%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
SIN
4 - 1
ALC
83%
12%
5%
|
42 | 19 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2023 |
LOU
2 - 1
SIN
20%
27%
54%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
SIN
0 - 1
PER
60%
23%
17%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
COR
0 - 1
SIN
35%
27%
38%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
União da Serra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
USA
34%
26%
40%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2023 |
BEN
4 - 3
UDA
53%
24%
22%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 0
UDA
46%
26%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 2023 |
UDA
1 - 2
1DE
46%
25%
30%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 05 Feb. 2023 |
MOR
3 - 3
UDA
40%
23%
37%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |