Sint Maarten vs US Virgin Islands analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.9%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
11.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.4%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
39.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
11.7%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3317%
+80%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sint Maarten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2019 |
TCA
3 - 2
SXM
84%
11%
6%
|
5 | 27 | 22 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2019 |
SXM
1 - 2
GLP
6%
13%
81%
|
6 | 54 | 48 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2019 |
SXM
2 - 5
TCA
6%
11%
83%
|
6 | 27 | 21 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
GLP
5 - 1
SXM
80%
14%
7%
|
6 | 54 | 48 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2019 |
SXM
4 - 3
MAF
40%
22%
38%
|
5 | 5 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
US Virgin Islands
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 7
SLV
4%
10%
86%
|
5 | 70 | 65 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2021 |
MSR
4 - 0
VIR
81%
12%
7%
|
5 | 30 | 25 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2021 |
GRD
1 - 0
VIR
84%
11%
5%
|
6 | 49 | 43 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2021 |
VIR
0 - 3
ATG
6%
10%
84%
|
6 | 49 | 43 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2019 |
VIR
1 - 2
MAF
10%
15%
75%
|
6 | 19 | 13 | 0 |