CAF Champions Quarter-finals
Global 1-4
Simba SC vs TP Mazembe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
39.2%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+50%
+14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simba SC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2019 |
SIM
3 - 0
MBA
77%
16%
7%
|
68 | 51 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
SIM
2 - 1
VCL
30%
25%
45%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | -1 |
| 09 Mar. 2019 |
SAO
2 - 0
SIM
52%
25%
23%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2019 |
SUN
0 - 2
SIM
16%
26%
59%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2019 |
LFC
1 - 3
SIM
22%
29%
49%
|
68 | 56 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
TP Mazembe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2019 |
TPM
0 - 1
SAI
75%
17%
9%
|
80 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2019 |
TPM
2 - 0
CON
69%
19%
12%
|
81 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2019 |
ISM
1 - 1
TPM
33%
28%
39%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2019 |
TPM
5 - 0
MBL
87%
9%
4%
|
81 | 61 | 20 | +1 |
| 24 Feb. 2019 |
SAN
2 - 3
TPM
23%
28%
50%
|
81 | 70 | 11 | 0 |