Simat vs Orba analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.9%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
4.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
6%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.1%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.1%
26.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-14%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Simat
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
MIR
0 - 2
SIM
26%
21%
53%
|
20 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2024 |
SIM
4 - 1
CUL
75%
14%
10%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | +1 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
BEL
0 - 3
SIM
16%
19%
65%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
SIM
3 - 0
DNA
61%
19%
21%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2024 |
SIM
4 - 3
BEL
76%
15%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Orba
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
CUL
2 - 1
ORB
19%
20%
61%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
ORB
3 - 1
DNA
72%
15%
13%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
OLI
0 - 2
ORB
45%
22%
33%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
ORB
2 - 0
ALG
90%
7%
3%
|
20 | 7 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2024 |
ORB
1 - 1
BNP
78%
14%
9%
|
20 | 14 | 6 | 0 |