First League round 10

Sileks vs FK Pobeda analysis

Sileks FK Pobeda
63 ELO 49
2.2% Tilt -14.9%
2635º General ELO ranking 8541º
Country ELO ranking 33º
ELO win probability
74.9%
Sileks
17.1%
Draw
8%
FK Pobeda

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.9%
Win probability
Sileks
2.18
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
<0%
+5
3.2%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
7.7%
3-0
11.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
15%
2-0
15.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.7%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8%
Win probability
FK Pobeda
0.55
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
6.3%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sileks
+25%
-34%
FK Pobeda

Points and table prediction

Sileks
Their league position
FK Pobeda
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
47
13
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Struga
66
69
100%
Shkupi
59
63
94.5%
KF Shkëndija
54
58
94%
Sileks
47
51
98.5%
Makedonija GP
39
42
25%
Bregalnica Štip
38
42
27.5%
Tikvesh
37
41
36.5%
Rabotnički
37
41
38.5%
Renova
12º
0
32
33%
AP Brera
27
31
10º
51.5%
FK Skopje
10º
22
25
11º
83.5%
FK Pobeda
11º
13
14
12º
97%
Expected probabilities
Sileks
FK Pobeda
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0.5% 0%
Mid-table
99.5% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Sileks
FK Pobeda
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sileks
Sileks
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
05 Oct. 2022
TIK
Tikvesh
0 - 1
Sileks
SIL
38%
25%
37%
64 58 6 0
02 Oct. 2022
SHK
Shkupi
0 - 0
Sileks
SIL
51%
26%
23%
64 67 3 0
23 Sep. 2022
FCS
Struga
1 - 2
Sileks
SIL
49%
26%
25%
64 67 3 0
11 Sep. 2022
MAK
Makedonija GP
0 - 1
Sileks
SIL
45%
28%
28%
63 64 1 +1
04 Sep. 2022
SIL
Sileks
3 - 2
Tikvesh
TIK
57%
24%
19%
63 56 7 0

Matches

FK Pobeda
FK Pobeda
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
02 Oct. 2022
POB
FK Pobeda
1 - 3
KF Shkëndija
SHK
10%
20%
70%
47 67 20 0
17 Sep. 2022
RAB
Rabotnički
1 - 0
FK Pobeda
POB
63%
22%
16%
48 59 11 -1
14 Sep. 2022
KAR
Karbinci
0 - 6
FK Pobeda
POB
8%
13%
79%
47 10 37 +1
11 Sep. 2022
POB
FK Pobeda
1 - 0
Bregalnica Štip
BRE
14%
22%
64%
46 62 16 +1
04 Sep. 2022
FKS
FK Skopje
1 - 0
FK Pobeda
POB
50%
26%
25%
47 52 5 -1