Siena vs Empoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.7%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.2%
1-0
14.9%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.3%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
24.3%
17%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
PAD
0 - 0
SIE
28%
28%
44%
|
76 | 64 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
SIE
1 - 0
TRI
70%
20%
10%
|
75 | 60 | 15 | +1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
MOD
0 - 1
SIE
27%
28%
45%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2011 |
SIE
2 - 3
PIA
66%
22%
13%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 0
SIE
47%
27%
27%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Empoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2011 |
EMP
0 - 1
MOD
61%
22%
17%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2011 |
PIA
2 - 1
EMP
43%
27%
30%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | -1 |
| 26 Feb. 2011 |
EMP
2 - 0
CTT
57%
24%
19%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2011 |
PES
1 - 0
EMP
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2011 |
GRO
2 - 1
EMP
45%
26%
29%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |