Siena vs Prato analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.3%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.7%
2-0
12.7%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.9%
13.7%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 1
COM
40%
27%
33%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
LRO
2 - 0
SIE
15%
21%
64%
|
52 | 40 | 12 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2017 |
PIA
2 - 1
SIE
22%
25%
54%
|
53 | 45 | 8 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
SIE
0 - 1
ARZ
50%
26%
24%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2017 |
SPO
2 - 3
SIE
8%
14%
79%
|
54 | 24 | 30 | 0 |
Matches
Prato
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ACP
2 - 0
VIT
31%
27%
43%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
ACP
3 - 0
CAR
30%
26%
44%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +3 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
PIS
2 - 0
ACP
65%
21%
14%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2016 |
ACP
0 - 0
RCR
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 2016 |
TUT
3 - 1
ACP
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |