Siena vs Mantova analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.5%
2-0
11.8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
17.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 May. 2019 |
SIE
0 - 1
NOV
46%
28%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2019 |
SIE
2 - 0
PIA
34%
28%
38%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
NOV
2 - 2
SIE
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2019 |
SIE
3 - 0
CAR
36%
27%
37%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ASA
3 - 2
SIE
15%
20%
64%
|
53 | 39 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Mantova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
LAZ
4 - 0
MAN
92%
7%
1%
|
44 | 84 | 40 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2019 |
MAN
1 - 2
PRO
50%
25%
25%
|
45 | 41 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2019 |
MAN
4 - 0
CAR
62%
22%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2019 |
VIL
0 - 0
MAN
7%
17%
76%
|
45 | 23 | 22 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2019 |
MAN
2 - 2
SON
82%
14%
4%
|
45 | 24 | 21 | 0 |