Siegburger SV 04 vs Borussia Freialdenhoven analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.5%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+32%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
1º
15º
13º
37
1º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
68 | 68 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
65 | 65 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
61 | 61 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 56 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
51 | 51 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
50 | 50 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 40 |
7º
|
55% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 38 |
8º
|
55% | |
|
13º
|
31 | 34 |
9º
|
77% | |
|
9º
|
34 | 34 |
10º
|
77% | |
|
10º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
77% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 32 |
12º
|
12.5% | |
|
|
12º
|
32 | 32 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
26 | 26 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
18 | 18 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegburger SV 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
PES
1 - 1
SIE
37%
23%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BWF
1 - 0
SIE
36%
23%
41%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
SIE
2 - 2
BGP
65%
19%
16%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
SCF
2 - 0
SIE
44%
22%
34%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
SIE
4 - 0
BER
17%
20%
63%
|
20 | 34 | 14 | +4 |
Matches
Borussia Freialdenhoven
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
BFR
5 - 2
BWF
57%
21%
22%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BGP
1 - 2
BFR
27%
23%
50%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2022 |
BFR
0 - 3
SCF
45%
23%
33%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
BER
1 - 2
BFR
66%
19%
16%
|
22 | 31 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Aug. 2022 |
BFR
0 - 0
VFL
70%
17%
13%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |