Shrewsbury Town vs Crewe Alexandra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.9%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.2%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
42.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shrewsbury Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
STF
2 - 1
GIL
27%
27%
46%
|
53 | 61 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
STF
0 - 2
ROC
36%
24%
40%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | -2 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
STF
0 - 3
PLY
40%
27%
33%
|
56 | 57 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
OPA
1 - 0
STF
60%
24%
16%
|
56 | 65 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MOR
2 - 0
STF
56%
24%
20%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Crewe Alexandra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
CHA
2 - 0
CRE
49%
25%
25%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
LEE
3 - 0
CRE
79%
15%
7%
|
58 | 82 | 24 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
CRE
0 - 1
STA
47%
25%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
OXF
1 - 0
CRE
54%
24%
22%
|
59 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
OPA
2 - 0
CRE
47%
26%
27%
|
60 | 64 | 4 | -1 |