Shkupi vs FK Vardar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.8%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.6%
29.3%
Draw
0-0
11.5%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.3%
31.9%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shkupi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
SHK
3 - 1
SHK
86%
11%
3%
|
59 | 75 | 16 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SHK
1 - 0
SIL
44%
28%
29%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RAB
1 - 1
SHK
57%
24%
19%
|
62 | 67 | 5 | -3 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SHK
1 - 0
REN
44%
27%
30%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SHK
1 - 0
MET
51%
26%
23%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
FK Vardar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
2 - 1
MET
78%
15%
7%
|
75 | 51 | 24 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
MLA
0 - 3
VAR
14%
25%
61%
|
75 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 0
BRE
58%
23%
18%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +8 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
HTR
0 - 1
VAR
31%
29%
40%
|
67 | 59 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VAR
4 - 1
REN
57%
23%
20%
|
67 | 60 | 7 | 0 |