Championship round 1

Sheffield Wednesday vs Southampton analysis

Sheffield Wednesday Southampton
77 ELO 84
-1.5% Tilt -4.3%
576º General ELO ranking 254º
32º Country ELO ranking 22º
ELO win probability
28.3%
Sheffield Wednesday
24.7%
Draw
47%
Southampton

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.3%
Win probability
Sheffield Wednesday
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47%
Win probability
Southampton
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.9%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sheffield Wednesday
+5%
-2%
Southampton

Points and table prediction

Sheffield Wednesday
Their league position
Southampton
CURR.POS.
20º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
53
18º
24º
20º
87
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leicester
97
97
100%
Ipswich Town
96
96
100%
Leeds United
90
90
100%
Southampton
87
87
100%
West Bromwich Albion
75
75
100%
Norwich City
73
73
100%
Hull City
70
70
100%
Middlesbrough
69
69
100%
Coventry City
64
64
100%
Preston North End
10º
63
63
10º
100%
Bristol City
11º
62
62
11º
100%
Cardiff City
12º
62
62
12º
100%
Millwall
13º
59
59
13º
100%
Swansea City
14º
57
57
14º
100%
Watford
15º
56
56
15º
0%
Sunderland
16º
56
56
16º
0%
Stoke City
17º
56
56
17º
100%
Queens Park Rangers
18º
56
56
18º
100%
Blackburn Rovers
19º
53
53
19º
100%
Sheffield Wednesday
20º
53
53
20º
100%
Plymouth Argyle
21º
51
51
21º
100%
Birmingham City
22º
50
50
22º
100%
Huddersfield Town
23º
45
45
23º
100%
Rotherham United
24º
27
27
24º
100%
Expected probabilities
Sheffield Wednesday
Southampton
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 100%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sheffield Wednesday
Southampton
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sheffield Wednesday
Sheffield Wednesday
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
SHW
Sheffield Wednesday
1 - 2
Luton Town
LUT
44%
26%
31%
77 79 2 0
25 Jul. 2023
DON
Doncaster Rovers
1 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
11%
19%
70%
77 49 28 0
21 Jul. 2023
ELD
Eldense
4 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
21%
24%
56%
77 61 16 0
18 Jul. 2023
MUR
Real Murcia
0 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
14%
22%
64%
77 57 20 0
11 Jul. 2023
CHE
Chesterfield
1 - 2
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
18%
22%
60%
77 56 21 0

Matches

Southampton
Southampton
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
29 Jul. 2023
SOU
Southampton
0 - 1
AZ Alkmaar
AZA
32%
25%
43%
83 87 4 0
25 Jul. 2023
SOU
Southampton
2 - 3
AFC Bournemouth
BOU
46%
24%
30%
83 83 0 0
22 Jul. 2023
REA
Reading
2 - 4
Southampton
SOU
21%
24%
55%
83 66 17 0
15 Jul. 2023
GOZ
Göztepe
1 - 1
Southampton
SOU
21%
24%
55%
83 68 15 0
12 Jul. 2023
SLB
Benfica
2 - 0
Southampton
SOU
65%
19%
16%
83 88 5 0