Championship round 18

Sheffield United vs Sunderland analysis

Sheffield United Sunderland
84 ELO 79
6.6% Tilt -4.5%
256º General ELO ranking 492º
23º Country ELO ranking 29º
ELO win probability
60.5%
Sheffield United
21.8%
Draw
17.8%
Sunderland

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.5%
Win probability
Sheffield United
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
17.8%
Win probability
Sunderland
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sheffield United
+5%
+8%
Sunderland

Points and table prediction

Sheffield United
Their league position
Sunderland
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
44
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Leeds United
45
92
40.5%
Sheffield United
48
91
28.5%
Burnley
47
89
26%
Sunderland
44
79
29.5%
Middlesbrough
36
75
17.5%
Blackburn Rovers
38
74
17.5%
Watford
37
73
17.5%
West Bromwich Albion
35
70
13.5%
Norwich City
12º
29
67
11.5%
Coventry City
15º
27
63
10º
8%
Sheffield Wednesday
33
63
11º
12%
Swansea City
10º
30
62
12º
10%
Luton Town
18º
25
61
13º
7.5%
Bristol City
11º
30
60
14º
12.5%
Millwall
13º
28
55
15º
7%
Derby County
14º
27
54
16º
10.5%
Preston North End
16º
26
53
17º
8.5%
Portsmouth
21º
20
51
18º
8.5%
Stoke City
19º
22
50
19º
12.5%
Queens Park Rangers
17º
25
49
20º
17%
Oxford United
20º
21
45
21º
15.5%
Plymouth Argyle
24º
18
44
22º
21%
Hull City
22º
19
43
23º
22%
Cardiff City
23º
18
39
24º
46.5%
Expected probabilities
Sheffield United
Sunderland
Promotion
64% 8.5%
Promotion play-offs
35% 74%
Mid-table
1% 17.5%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Sheffield United
Sunderland
Watford
West Bromwich Albion
Stoke City
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sheffield United
Sheffield United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2024
SHE
Sheffield United
3 - 0
Oxford United
OXF
71%
18%
11%
84 73 11 0
23 Nov. 2024
COV
Coventry City
2 - 2
Sheffield United
SHE
40%
26%
34%
84 80 4 0
10 Nov. 2024
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 0
Sheffield Wednesday
SHW
63%
21%
16%
83 77 6 +1
05 Nov. 2024
BRI
Bristol City
1 - 2
Sheffield United
SHE
33%
28%
40%
83 78 5 0
02 Nov. 2024
BBU
Blackburn Rovers
0 - 2
Sheffield United
SHE
41%
25%
33%
83 78 5 0

Matches

Sunderland
Sunderland
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
26 Nov. 2024
SUN
Sunderland
0 - 0
West Bromwich Albion
WBA
42%
26%
32%
79 81 2 0
23 Nov. 2024
MIL
Millwall
1 - 1
Sunderland
SUN
36%
29%
36%
79 77 2 0
09 Nov. 2024
SUN
Sunderland
2 - 2
Coventry City
COV
44%
26%
30%
79 80 1 0
06 Nov. 2024
PNE
Preston North End
0 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
38%
27%
35%
79 75 4 0
02 Nov. 2024
QPR
Queens Park Rangers
0 - 0
Sunderland
SUN
30%
27%
43%
79 71 8 0