Premier League round 42

Sheffield United vs Newcastle analysis

Sheffield United Newcastle
77 ELO 80
-5.6% Tilt -0.8%
256º General ELO ranking 26º
23º Country ELO ranking
ELO win probability
53.5%
Sheffield United
22.4%
Draw
24.2%
Newcastle

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
Sheffield United
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.8%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.3%
24.2%
Win probability
Newcastle
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sheffield United
+9%
+2%
Newcastle

ELO progression

Sheffield United
Newcastle
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sheffield United
Sheffield United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 May. 1949
MUD
Manchester United
3 - 2
Sheffield United
SHE
68%
17%
15%
77 86 9 0
30 Apr. 1949
MID
Middlesbrough
3 - 1
Sheffield United
SHE
55%
21%
24%
78 77 1 -1
23 Apr. 1949
SHE
Sheffield United
0 - 0
Burnley
BUR
61%
21%
19%
78 79 1 0
19 Apr. 1949
WOL
Wolves
6 - 0
Sheffield United
SHE
70%
16%
14%
78 85 7 0
18 Apr. 1949
SHE
Sheffield United
1 - 1
Wolves
WOL
42%
23%
35%
78 85 7 0

Matches

Newcastle
Newcastle
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
30 Apr. 1949
NEW
Newcastle
0 - 1
Manchester United
MUD
46%
24%
30%
80 86 6 0
23 Apr. 1949
LIV
Liverpool
1 - 1
Newcastle
NEW
58%
22%
21%
80 82 2 0
18 Apr. 1949
MID
Middlesbrough
3 - 2
Newcastle
NEW
54%
22%
24%
80 76 4 0
16 Apr. 1949
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 1
Bolton Wanderers
BOL
62%
20%
18%
80 78 2 0
15 Apr. 1949
NEW
Newcastle
1 - 0
Middlesbrough
MID
63%
19%
18%
80 77 3 0