Sheffield United vs Derby County analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.8%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.4%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
15.6%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.5%
11.5%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.8%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sheffield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
LIV
3 - 1
SHE
68%
18%
14%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1906 |
SHW
1 - 0
SHE
63%
20%
18%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
STO
2 - 1
SHE
53%
21%
26%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1906 |
SHE
1 - 1
ASV
50%
23%
27%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1906 |
NEW
2 - 1
SHE
69%
17%
13%
|
81 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Derby County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 1906 |
DER
2 - 1
SHW
43%
25%
32%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1906 |
WOL
7 - 0
DER
52%
23%
26%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1906 |
NTT
0 - 0
DER
67%
18%
16%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1906 |
ASV
6 - 0
DER
76%
15%
9%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1906 |
EVE
2 - 1
DER
76%
16%
9%
|
78 | 85 | 7 | 0 |