Shanghai Shenhua vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.6%
Win probability
1.85
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.7%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
23.6%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shanghai Shenhua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
3 - 1
SHA
44%
24%
32%
|
82 | 82 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
SHA
5 - 1
GUA
81%
14%
5%
|
82 | 58 | 24 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
42%
26%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2024 |
WFC
0 - 2
SHA
30%
27%
43%
|
82 | 72 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2024 |
SHI
0 - 5
SHA
11%
23%
66%
|
82 | 57 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2024 |
BEI
0 - 0
HAN
54%
23%
24%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
QYI
2 - 2
BEI
19%
24%
57%
|
79 | 62 | 17 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 1
SHA
42%
26%
33%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
SJF
1 - 0
BEI
20%
25%
55%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2024 |
BEI
2 - 0
TIT
64%
21%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |