Shandong Taishan vs Beijing Guoan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.3%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.7%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
26.1%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shandong Taishan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Aug. 2014 |
HAN
4 - 1
SHA
27%
27%
47%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
SHA
4 - 0
SHA
74%
17%
9%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
LIA
0 - 0
SHA
26%
26%
48%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
BEI
1 - 1
SHA
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SHA
2 - 2
TIT
69%
19%
12%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | -1 |
Matches
Beijing Guoan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Aug. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 1
GUI
59%
23%
18%
|
79 | 74 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2014 |
GUA
3 - 1
BEI
37%
26%
36%
|
79 | 69 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2014 |
BEI
2 - 0
SHA
69%
20%
12%
|
79 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 06 Aug. 2014 |
BEI
1 - 1
SHA
54%
23%
23%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2014 |
SHA
0 - 3
BEI
34%
28%
38%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | +1 |