Shamrock Rovers vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
25%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
26.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-16%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
39
1º
8º
3º
49
1º
5º
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
2º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
53 | 64 |
1º
|
68% | |
|
|
2º
|
49 | 60 |
2º
|
49.5% | |
|
|
6º
|
39 | 53 |
3º
|
16% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 53 |
4º
|
22.5% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 51 |
5º
|
21.5% | |
|
3º
|
43 | 51 |
6º
|
22.5% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 49 |
7º
|
31.5% | |
|
8º
|
33 | 44 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
9º
|
25 | 33 |
9º
|
54% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 32 |
10º
|
54.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase
|
2.5% | 26.5% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
25% | 66.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
72.5% | 7% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamrock Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
DUN
1 - 0
SHR
40%
28%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
SHR
2 - 2
STP
50%
25%
25%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
SHR
1 - 3
WAT
54%
23%
23%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
BOH
1 - 1
SHR
47%
26%
27%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2024 |
SHR
4 - 0
DRO
67%
20%
13%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 May. 2024 |
STP
0 - 1
DER
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2024 |
DER
1 - 0
BOH
49%
26%
25%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
DER
1 - 1
SHE
44%
27%
29%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2024 |
GAL
0 - 0
DER
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2024 |
WAT
0 - 2
DER
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |