Shamakhi vs Qarabağ analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.2%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
25.6%
55.2%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
14.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26.1%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
+50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
25
6º
10º
10º
90
1º
2º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
81 | 81 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
68 | 68 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 50 |
4º
|
0% | |
|
5º
|
50 | 50 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 39 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
31 | 31 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
29 | 29 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shamakhi
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2022 |
SEB
0 - 0
SHA
35%
26%
39%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
FKQ
18%
25%
58%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2022 |
ZIR
1 - 0
SHA
62%
23%
15%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SHA
0 - 1
SFK
22%
27%
51%
|
59 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
FCK
2 - 1
SHA
17%
23%
60%
|
60 | 45 | 15 | -1 |
Matches
Qarabağ
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2022 |
NAN
2 - 1
QAR
53%
24%
23%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 0
TUR
77%
16%
8%
|
72 | 54 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
3 - 1
SUM
68%
20%
12%
|
72 | 61 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2022 |
QAR
0 - 0
OLP
40%
25%
35%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
FKQ
0 - 1
QAR
41%
27%
32%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |