Shakhter Karagandy vs FC Aktobe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.4%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.7%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
41.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
11.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.3%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-35%
+15%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
10º
12º
13º
43
1º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
47 | 47 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
46 | 46 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
43 | 43 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
37 | 37 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
27 | 27 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
25 | 25 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
23 | 23 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
20 | 20 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
10 | 10 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 1
KYZ
41%
28%
31%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
KAI
5 - 1
SHA
44%
27%
29%
|
70 | 72 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2024 |
AST
3 - 0
SHA
57%
23%
20%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
TOB
1 - 0
SHA
48%
26%
25%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
SHA
1 - 2
FKY
41%
28%
31%
|
71 | 72 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
FC Aktobe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2024 |
AST
2 - 0
FCA
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2024 |
FCA
2 - 1
KAI
44%
25%
30%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2024 |
ATY
1 - 2
FCA
39%
25%
36%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
TOB
3 - 0
FCA
38%
28%
34%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
FCA
3 - 0
ZHE
61%
23%
17%
|
75 | 69 | 6 | 0 |