Oberliga Niederrhein round 5

SF Baumberg vs Velbert analysis

SF Baumberg Velbert
31 ELO 34
12.6% Tilt 19.5%
5168º General ELO ranking 5649º
171º Country ELO ranking 191º
ELO win probability
48.3%
SF Baumberg
21.5%
Draw
30.2%
Velbert

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.4%
Win probability
SF Baumberg
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
6%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
14.5%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.7%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
30.2%
Win probability
Velbert
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
16%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
SF Baumberg
-48%
+70%
Velbert

ELO progression

SF Baumberg
Velbert
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

SF Baumberg
SF Baumberg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2017
CRO
Cronenberger
1 - 2
SF Baumberg
SFB
15%
19%
66%
32 20 12 0
27 Aug. 2017
KFI
Krefeld-Fischeln
0 - 1
SF Baumberg
SFB
39%
22%
40%
31 27 4 +1
20 Aug. 2017
SFB
SF Baumberg
5 - 0
Düsseldorf-West
DUS
60%
19%
22%
30 28 2 +1
16 Aug. 2017
SFB
SF Baumberg
1 - 1
Turu 1880 Dusseldorf
DUS
67%
18%
15%
30 25 5 0
13 Aug. 2017
VFB
Homberg
0 - 2
SF Baumberg
SFB
49%
22%
29%
28 31 3 +2

Matches

Velbert
Velbert
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Sep. 2017
VEL
Velbert
1 - 1
Düsseldorf-West
DUS
57%
21%
23%
32 27 5 0
27 Aug. 2017
VEL
Velbert
3 - 1
Homberg
VFB
42%
24%
34%
31 31 0 +1
20 Aug. 2017
SCH
Schonnebeck
2 - 2
Velbert
VEL
47%
21%
32%
31 33 2 0
16 Aug. 2017
VEL
Velbert
3 - 0
Speldorf
SPE
53%
23%
24%
30 26 4 +1
13 Aug. 2017
STR
SV Straelen
2 - 0
Velbert
VEL
36%
21%
43%
32 29 3 -2