Sevilla vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.7%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14.8%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.1%
26.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Sevilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 2000 |
RMA
3 - 1
SEV
80%
13%
7%
|
76 | 89 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2000 |
SEV
0 - 1
VAD
46%
27%
27%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2000 |
BET
1 - 1
SEV
61%
22%
17%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
SEV
2 - 2
ALA
45%
27%
28%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
ESP
2 - 2
SEV
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 1
OVI
47%
25%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2000 |
FCB
4 - 0
NUM
86%
10%
5%
|
76 | 91 | 15 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 2
VCF
27%
27%
46%
|
77 | 89 | 12 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 2000 |
MAL
3 - 1
NUM
54%
24%
23%
|
77 | 78 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2000 |
NUM
1 - 0
DEP
34%
28%
37%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |