LaLiga round 3

Sevilla vs Burgos analysis

Sevilla Burgos
76 ELO 74
-5.5% Tilt -19.9%
60º General ELO ranking 892º
10º Country ELO ranking 42º
ELO win probability
58.1%
Sevilla
23.9%
Draw
18%
Burgos

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.2%
Win probability
Sevilla
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.2%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
18%
Win probability
Burgos
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Sevilla
-4%
-6%
Burgos

ELO progression

Sevilla
Burgos
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Sevilla
Sevilla
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
13 Sep. 1977
ARE
Arenas de Getxo
2 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
38%
27%
36%
76 43 33 0
10 Sep. 1977
RMA
Real Madrid
3 - 0
Sevilla
SEV
73%
17%
10%
76 84 8 0
03 Sep. 1977
SEV
Sevilla
3 - 1
Espanyol
ESP
41%
26%
33%
75 81 6 +1
08 Jun. 1977
RSO
Real Sociedad
2 - 1
Sevilla
SEV
66%
21%
14%
75 78 3 0
04 Jun. 1977
SEV
Sevilla
3 - 1
Athletic
ATH
38%
26%
36%
74 83 9 +1

Matches

Burgos
Burgos
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Sep. 1977
ALB
Albacete
0 - 1
Burgos
BUR
24%
27%
49%
74 37 37 0
11 Sep. 1977
BUR
Burgos
0 - 2
UD Salamanca
SLA
61%
23%
16%
75 77 2 -1
03 Sep. 1977
UDL
Las Palmas
0 - 0
Burgos
BUR
67%
19%
14%
75 80 5 0
22 May. 1977
BUR
Burgos
2 - 0
Real Sociedad
RSO
53%
24%
22%
73 79 6 +2
15 May. 1977
CEL
Celta
2 - 1
Burgos
BUR
48%
28%
25%
74 73 1 -1